Prognostic Validity of External Independent Testing and Quality of
Criteria
Yuriy Kovalchuk
Nizhyn Mykola Gogol State University
The purpose of external independent assessment in Ukraine is a selection of
the best candidates for admission to higher education institution. That is the
target behaviour domain being measured is a successful study at
university. Grade point average for a first course of studying can serve as a
quantitative indicator of this. That is GPA is considered as criterion for the
study of prognostic validity of admission tests. However, there is evidence of
poor quality of criterion, such as systematic overstatement student's grades
by teachers. This can be derived, in particular, from the imposition of a
4-point national scale and ECTS scale for 100 ball working scale of
university.